On November 10, 2012 an article about Texas and 14 other states filing petitions to secede from the United States began circulating heavily around social networks.
The petitions were started by republican citizens of the following states:
Louisiana, Texas, Montana, North Dakota, Indiana, Mississippi, Kentucky, North Carolina, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, New Jersey, Colorado, Oregon and New York.
One reason, Texas will likely turn Democrat before seceding and it boils down to Republicans not appropriately addressing the needs and concerns of Hispanics. Further confirmation of this came when San Antonio’s Mayor Julian Castro’s keynote speech at the Democratic National Convention.
The population of Hispanics in Texas is greater than any other race outside of White and are even included as a percentage of the Census’ statistics of the White population since Hispanics may be of any race according to the Census Bureau.
Although the Texas was red in the 2012 election, a large shift towards the Democrat party occurred. The same voters who voted for George W. Bush in 2004 (40% of Hispanic voters for Bush), voted for Obama this past election. Although, the GOP would not need the majority of Hispanic voters to support Republicans, they need enough of them to keep Democratic support low. In order to achieve this, GOP focus should be on mending errors in addressing the important issues of Hispanics instead of focusing on seceding from the United states, which would likely eradicate any Hispanic support.
Hispanics tend to be socially conservative and economically progressive. Therefore, trying to secede from the U.S. would be in direct conflict with their goals and potential for improving their most important social issues namely immigration reform.
The second reason Texas will likely be going anywhere is the same reason they are a state today, “An Ordinance, Declaring the Ordinance of Secession Null and Void:”
Be it ordained by the people of Texas in Convention assembled, That we acknowledge the supremacy of the Constitution of the United States, and the laws passed in pursuance thereof; and that an ordinance adopted by a former Convention of the people of Texas on the 1st day of February, A. D. 1861, entitled “An Ordinance to dissolve the Union between the State of Texas and the other States, united under the compact styled “Constitution of the United States of America,” be and the same is hereby declared null and void; and the right heretofore claimed by the State of Texas to secede from the Union, is hereby distinctly renounced. Passed 15th March 1866.
Furthermore, the bottom line is dollars and sense. Nine of the 11 southern states that seceded from the union in the 1860’s have never economically recovered even though the secession lasted no more than 6-10 for each state. With the exception of Virginia which ranks 7/50 in median household income, these states are the poorest states in American history and depend heavily on assistance from the government.
South Carolina December 20, 1860
Mississippi January 9, 1861
Florida January 10, 1861
Alabama January 11, 1861
Georgia January 19, 1861
Louisiana January 26, 1861
Texas February 1, 1861
Virginia April 17, 1861
Arkansas May 6, 1861
North Carolina May 20, 1861
Tennessee June 8, 1861
Texas ranks 25 out of the 50 states which only exemplifies the fact that the old money that makes the “Lone Star” state so rich is saturated in a very small percentage of it’s citizens. Could the majority of the 1% being talked about during this past election be in Dallas and Houston?
In any case, states requesting secession must gather 25,000 signatures each for their petitions to be considered by the Obama Administration, who will likely follow the Constitution in determining.