Some patchy dense fog was noted across the Capital Region and vicinity this morning. This fog should slowly lift by late morning as a modest southerly breeze kicks up in advance of an approaching warm front. By later this afternoon, the front should lift north of the area, and be followed by a weak cold front this evening and overnight.
The new work week looks to start out under the influence of a weak high pressure system that lurches southward in the wake of the system mentioned above. However, as has been the case as of late, the front looks to stall to our south once again during the day on Monday. Thus, chances for showers cannot be ruled out. Conditions will turn decidedly more mild for the early portions of the work week.
It will not be long before the region has to deal with another warm and cold front pair. These fronts will be tied to low pressure forecast to be in the vicinity of Hudson’s Bay in Canada, by Tuesday. This system’s cold front looks to be quite potent, and will be followed by a secondary cold front that passes through the region on Wednesday. This system should be a fast mover though, and by Thursday high pressure looks to be back in control of our weather.
As has been mentioned in prior outlooks, the jet stream pattern is rather fast, and features zonal flow, from west-to-east, through the majority of the coming week. If the jet stream began to exhibit more of a wave pattern (with some north-to-south variations as shown in the slide in the slideshow), the concern would begin to grow for some more powerful storms. However, the pattern does not show signs of changing through the coming week. Thus, the weather experienced across the Capital Region and vicinity will remain rather unsettled, with times of sunshine and clouds, and times of rain and showers, with fluctuating temperatures, as warm and cold front pairs sweep through the region.
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
Today: Overcast with periods of light rain and showers. High 45-50. South winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 70 percent.
Tonight: Cloudy with periods of light rain and showers. Areas of fog forming overnight. Low near 40. Variable winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 60 percent.
Monday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a chance of a passing shower. Mild. High near 50. Northwest winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 20 percent.
Monday Night: Variable cloudiness with patchy fog forming in spots. Low near 40. Light southerly winds.
Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine and becoming breezy. Chance of showers during the afternoon. Very mild. High in the mid 50’s. Southerly winds 10-20 MPH. Chance of rain is 40 percent.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with a 40 percent chance of rain and/or snow showers. High near 45 and low near 25.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and cooler. High near 40 and low near 25.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High near 40 and low near 25.
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