A spell of mild conditions will envelop the Capital Region and vicinity through the next 24 to 36 hours. A lackluster cold front was moving slowly eastward and southward from western and northern New York. Temperature contrast on either side of the front was not that impressive, though the winds were shifting from the south and southwest back to the west and west-northwest behind the system. Passage of the front, through the Capital Region, should occur during the afternoon hours with little if any fanfare.
Skies will slowly clear behind the frontal passage this afternoon and evening as high pressure builds back into the region. Another surge of warm air will ride northward, toward the region, on the heels of a warm front. A potent area of low pressure is forecast to be in the vicinity of James’ Bay in Canada early on Tuesday morning. Thus, after the warm frontal passage on Tuesday morning, the low pressure center will accelerate north and east, and drag a strong cold front through the region later Tuesday evening and early Wednesday morning. The front will be associated with some rain showers, and a brisk northwesterly breeze heralding it’s passage.
Temperatures will trend downward for the midweek period, behind the strong system. In addition, a reinforcing cold front will slide through the region during the day on Wednesday, tempering the upward climb of the temperature, and bringing the renewed chance for some isolated to scattered showers from time to time.
High pressure looks to briefly provide a respite from the unsettled conditions on Thursday, before sliding east and south of the region Friday. This will allow for another system to advance eastward from the center of the nation, toward the region, to end the work week and start the weekend.
Temperatures start out the period well above normal, and look to trend near to slightly above normal for the remainder of the period. Given the progression of fast moving systems through our region, precipitation is expected to remain near normal through the period.
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
Today: Lots of clouds this morning, giving way to intervals of clouds and sunshine by afternoon. Mild. High near 50. Northwest winds 5-10 MPH.
Tonight: Variable clouds with areas of patchy fog forming overnight. Low near 40. Light southeast winds.
Tuesday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy, and very mild. A slight chance of an afternoon shower. High in the upper 50’s. South winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 20 percent.
Tuesday Night: Overcast with periods of rain and showers likely. Low near 45. South winds, shifting northwest late at night 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 90 percent.
Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine and breezy with a slight chance of a shower. High in the mid 40’s. Northwesterly winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts possible at times. Chance of rain is 20 percent.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High near 40 and low near 26.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High near 40 and low near 30.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain or snow showers. High near 40 and low near 30.
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