Temperatures across the Capital Region were already showing signs of trending upward during the overnight period and early this morning. The reason for this was a slow, yet steady, southerly breeze which had commenced. The breeze was enough to drive slightly milder air into the region overnight. This was all in advance of a strong cold front that was currently draped from the upper Great Lakes, southward into the central Plains. Through the day today, this front will make steady progress eastward, toward the Capital Region. Temperatures over the region today, in advance of the front, will be as much as 5 to 10 degrees above seasonal averages for this time of year.
The front is expected to pass through the region during the evening hours tonight, bringing an increased threat for some shower activity. Moisture appears to be lacking with this feature, and seeing as though it is pushing into a relatively dry airmass, significant precipitation is not expected. It may be cold enough, later tonight, for some snow to mix in across the higher elevations.
The weekend looks brisk and chilly. A secondary cold front is forecast to pass through the area Saturday. This front will act to reinforce the colder air already in place, and bring the continued risk of some showers. This time though, some snowflakes may mix in across the region as a whole. Lake effect snow showers will also be possible further north and west of the Capital Region, closer to lake Ontario. Portions of the western Adirondacks, and western Mohawk Valley may see some light accumulations.
High pressure will build into the region on Sunday, and last through Monday, bringing fair and seasonably chilly weather. We continue to monitor the potential of a storm during the midweek period next week. Indications are that a low pressure area will develop over the Ohio or Tennessee Valley region Tuesday, and may track northeast to be off the New England coast by Wednesday morning. There is still a lot of uncertainty as to actual storm evolution and development. Stay tuned for further updates!
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
Today: Mostly sunny early, with some increasing clouds during the afternoon. High 50-55. South winds 5-10 MPH.
Tonight: Overcast with a chance of rain showers. Low 30-35. South winds early, shifting west at 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 40 percent.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and chilly. A chance of scattered rain and/or snow showers. High 40-45. West winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts to near 30 MPH possible at times. Little if any snow accumulation is expected.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Low near 25. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and continued breezy. High near 40. Northwest winds 10-20 MPH.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 40 and low near 25.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain and/or snow showers. High near 40 and low near 30.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain and/or snow showers. High near 40 and low near 30.
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