Skies had unexpectedly cleared for a few hours yesterday evening, allowing temperatures to take the plunge into the upper 20’s. Even though temperatures were exhibiting an upward trend for most of the overnight hours, and were now above freezing in most spots, rural areas and higher elevations remained near or slightly below the 32 degree mark. Radar depicted some showers traversing central New York, moving into the Adirondacks, Western Mohawk Valley, southern Catskills, and Lower Hudson Valley early this morning. Pockets of freezing rain and drizzle may occur as this band of precipitation moves eastward. The morning commute may be a bit tricky in spots, and thus caution is advised.
A warm front is forecast to advance north and east of the region through the day today, ushering in significantly milder air. The leading edge of the warmer air is tied to a low pressure area over east-central Canada, just east of James’ Bay. Though the record high of 63 degrees at Albany, NY for this date looks to be safe, temperatures will likely top out in the upper 50’s to near 60 today as southerly breezes kick up in the warm front’s wake.
The forecast movement of the low pressure over Canada sends it north and northeast through the day today and into tonight. This will cause the system’s cold front, a rather strong cold front, to move through the region later this evening and overnight. Chances for precipitation will increase across the region as the front approaches. The temperature profile of the atmosphere at the time of the frontal passage suggests that precipitation will fall in the form of liquid rain.
Unsettled weather will persist into Wednesday, as a cold pool of air in the upper levels of the atmosphere moves across the region, along with a weak upper level disturbance. Though the sun will shine from time to time, there will also be times of cloudiness and perhaps a very widely scattered shower, especially during the morning hours. High pressure will build into the region late Wednesday afternoon and evening, clearing the skies, and calming the atmosphere. This will set the stage for a cold start to Thursday!
High pressure dominates the weather on Thursday, before moving east of the region by the end of the work week, in the vicinity of the eastern New England coast. This will allow for another surge of milder air to infiltrate in time for the weekend. Unfortunately though, with the milder air will come the chance for showers as a frontal system looks to get hung up over the area during this time as well.
…Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity…
Today: A slight chance of showers this morning, freezing rain and drizzle possible in rural and outlying areas. Intervals of clouds and sunshine for the afternoon. Very mild. High 55-60. South winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain this morning is 30 percent.
Tonight: Overcast with periods of rain and showers developing. Becoming breezy overnight. Low near 45. South winds 5-10 MPH, shifting northwest late at night and increasing to 10-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 80 percent.
Wednesday: Left over morning showers tapering off and giving way to intervals of clouds and sunshine. Becoming breezy and cooler. High in the mid 40’s. Northwest winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts to near 25 MPH possible at times. Chance of rain in the morning is 20 percent.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear and chilly. Low 20-25. Light northwest winds.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High near 40. Variable winds 10 MPH or less.
Friday: Mostly sunny and milder. High near 50 and low near 30.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain and/or snow showers. High near 50 and low near 35.
Sunday: Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. High near 50 and low near 35.
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